March 19 Hong Kong (Happy Valley) form analysis
Race 1 (1,650m)
4 California Moxie stuck on well to run fourth last time. He can improve on his second attempt in Class 5.
8 Windicator Family has closed off strongly to fourth in two Class 5 races despite drawing outside gates. A mid-draw should be more in his favour.
1 Smiling Emperor drops into Class 5 after a luckless eighth last time. The class drop helps, but as a three-year-old giving away plenty of weight, that remains the query.
11 Verbier gets back on turf, which should suit, and he has trialled well. His on-pace profile will hold him in good stead should he receive luck from out wide.
Race 2 (1,000m)
3 Colourful King stuck on well late to finish fifth, despite being in need of the run on his Hong Kong debut. He will strip much fitter stepping away from barrier 1 second-up.
2 Youthful Spirits is on the quick back-up after fading late over 1,200m, a trip that stretched him. He does not win out of turn, but he will give his usual sight.
5 Sparkling Fellow has shown promise in both runs at Sha Tin. He is heading in the right direction and is one to watch.
6 Watch This One’s series of trials suggest he can make his presence felt in his Hong Kong debut.
Race 3 (1,200m)
1 Power Koepp’s trial was solid, and his class may just prove to be too good with Hugh Bowman in the plate from barrier 2.
5 Excellent Peers has been running well without winning and remains in the mix after charging home from barrier 11 to fourth last start. Moving into barrier 4 provides a better run in transit.
11 Lucky Blessing finished just under three lengths away in sixth last time. In an open race, he can take the next step.
8 Good Prospect is coming off back-to-back seconds and is clearly trending in the right direction with more racing.
Race 4 (1,200m)
1 Perfect General’s on-pace effort last start behind Tactical Command, who made it back-to-back wins last week, was sound. Given the race shape, he can improve.
2 Our Lucky Glory is on the verge of breaking through in this class after a fast-finishing second last time, but barrier 11 could be tricky.
5 Loveisintheair was given an easy time out at the back before closing off well into sixth on debut. He should take a step forward from that experience.
10 Telecom Power is well down in the handicap and remains a threat, as his last-start second to Dragon Four Seas suggests.
Race 5 (1,650m)
1 Casa Rochester made a strong impression in his first attempt in Class 4 last start, being held up at a crucial stage but still finishing just two lengths away in fifth.
8 Jumbo Fortune does not win out of turn, but his form has been solid since joining David Eustace this season. He ran a neck-second in the same race as Casa Rochester last start and can go close again.
7 Super Contented resumed off a lengthy break over 1,400m at Sha Tin last time but still ran well for seventh. He is a better chance at this course and distance, especially starting from pole position.
2 Red Majesty may be comfortable on the pace and is always capable of bouncing back in this class.
Race 6 (1,000m)
7 Plentiful is thriving this season, boasting three wins from eight starts. With a ton of speed engaged, the race sets up perfectly for him to storm home late for a hat-trick of wins.
8 Super Sixty won well over 1,200m last start. He has strong form over this trip and will be suited by the genuine tempo.
6 Fun N Fun Together faded into sixth last time. Still, he remains a pace influence and is nearing a win, with his chances hinging on how much early pressure unfolds.
4 Parents’ Love has been a model of consistency this season and also likes to lead. He was no match for Plentiful last start but is capable of giving another bold sight.
Race 7 (1,650m)
11 Flying Fortress is edging closer to a first local win. He relished the rise to this trip last start, but lost by only a nose in Class 4, so he should go close from barrier 2.
2 Excellence Value looks capable of going back-to-back after breaking through last time. That was his second run with blinkers in Hong Kong and he remains well placed to deliver again.
1 M Unicorn was only a neck behind Excellence Value in that race and can test him again, meeting him better at the weights.
10 Sturdy Ruby has been in career-best form this season, with two victories and two placings from five runs. Despite stepping up into Class 3 for the first time, he can measure up.
Race 8 (1,200m)
11 Golden Rise has improved since blinkers were applied three starts ago. After back-to-back seconds, he scored narrowly last time. Despite the rise in class, he can measure up.
8 Super Joy N Fun was unsuited over 1,400m at Sha Tin last time, so he returns to his preferred track and distance. His recent efforts at Happy Valley have been solid.
4 Gallant Valour has hit top form, winning impressively two starts ago before finishing third to Aurora Lady last time – a form that reads well.
9 Prawns Eleven charged late into second behind Aurora Lady from a wide alley last time. But he has the tactical speed to settle closer in the run, which will aid his chances.
Race 9 (1,200m)
3 Aurora Lady has his second attempt in Class 2. He returned to winning ways back in Class 3 over this course and distance last start, and barrier 1 will give him every chance to go back-to-back.
2 Full Credit’s last-start third behind Magic Control over 1,000m at Sha Tin was full of merit, as he was held up before switching off heels at a crucial stage. Stepping back up to 1,200m is key to his chances.
5 Beauty Destiny has been one of the season’s biggest improvers, winning four of his seven starts. This is his first foray into Class 2, which presents another test, but it is hard to deny he is flying.
7 Swift Ascend can bounce back from a better-than-it-reads fifth last time.
Comments courtesy of The Hong Kong Jockey Club
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