Feb 19 South Africa (Scottsville) form analysis
Race 1 (1,600m)
(9) O SPACE O made improvement over a mile last time, running a narrow second at long odds.
The odds will be shorter this time but he will have to get past (2) WHITE SEAHORSE and (3) VENCEDOR who both have better draws. White Seahorse was narrowly beaten on the Poly last time but does appear to have come to hand. Vencedor is never far back and should be involved again.
(7) PRINCE FLORIAN have claims too.
Race 2 (1,600m)
(11) PROMISE OF FIRE has the worst draw and two fair sprints previously. However, her pedigree shouts out a mile and further, so she may be the right one.
(3) LA VIDA LOCA does seem better than her last effort and meets a modest line-up.
(7) DEE DAY is way better than her last run and can feature.
(9) GLORIOUS BUTTERFLY has been improving steadily at her last three runs, albeit in modest company last start.
Race 3 (1,600m)
(1) MEXICAN PETE's three recent efforts have been on the soft and he drew wide in his last two runs. He now has pole position and a five-point drop in the handicap. If the weather holds, he could be the one to beat.
(2) SUNDANCE KID is smart on his day and first-time blinkers could bring out his best.
(11) CAPSAICIN has the widest draw but he is in good form.
(10) BRISTOL HERCULES is 1.5kg better off than Capsaicin on their last meeting but has also drawn wide.
Race 4 (2,400m)
(12) CAPTAIN OLIVER has been in the money in four starts and stays well. He can make amends.
(8) UZWANO has been progressive as he steps up in trip and could now be over his ideal distance.
(5) WOODLAND GLADE also steps up in trip and, despite the top weight, the distance should suit.
(1) FIRE FORCE only has 49kg to shoulder. He could go all the way from pole position.
Race 5 (1,400m)
(5) PLAZA ACCORD has been dropping in the handicap and now looks to be off a competitive mark.
(10) IBUTHO has the widest draw and his recent form is poor, but the blinkers are back on and he has dropped in the handicap.
(9) PHAKA IMALI surprised at long odds last start when switched back to turf. A repeat could see him go in again.
(4) SLYTHERIN won on debut and the extra distance should suit.
Race 6 (1,400m)
(1) MAGMA MAGIC disappointed last time but steps up to his winning trip. He has the best draw and Rachel Venniker's allowance.
(3) NUMZAAN has had two runs back from the Cape, both on the Poly. He is way out in the handicap but looks capable off this weight.
(2) ROOSTER BRADSHAW is lightly raced but made steady improvement to his maiden win. He can follow up in this field.
(6) STARS IN HEAVEN has jumped in the handicap after his last two wins but a hat-trick cannot be discounted.
Race 7 (1,000m)
(4) IBHELE showed up well in blinkers last time. He is down in class and has a big weight but with a 4kg claimer on board, he could win.
(2) LADY OF VIX is quick but may have found the extra 100m last time a touch too far.
(3) VISION TO ACHIEVE goes well over this course and distance. She can be involved in the finish again.
(6) AYUWI YUWI is holding form but this extra furlong could be a problem if the pace does not work out.
Race 8 (1,200m)
(4) ONE SMART COOKIE is hardly ever out of the money and should have a big chance in this grade.
(6) COLORADO CREEK has run well on this trip. He is holding form well.
(9) LITTLEBLACKGEM is way better than her last effort in the soft and could pop up.
(5) GLAMORZ is down in class and was not far back under a big weight last time.
